Montreal Canadiens: Grading Marc Bergevin’s Offseason Moves

Montreal Canadiens general manager Marc Bergevin had a terrific 2020 offseason. Unfortunately, his 2021 offseason was a tire fire that not only made the team less competitive but also alienated much of the fanbase.

This offseason has been a really painful one. The highs of the underdog playoff run continued with Bergevin’s masterful strategy at the Seattle expansion draft, but once the 2021 NHL Entry Draft hit, Bergevin’s failures began.

In this article, I will grade each and every significant move and event of the Canadiens’ offseason from my subjective standpoint. I will explain why I give every grade that I do, and I am more than happy to have some civil debates in the comments on any differences in opinion. This is the third annual installment of this article, in retrospect, some of my grades in 2019 were quite bad (sorry Mike Reilly!) but I stand by most of them; last year’s article, on the other hand, has aged surprisingly well, the only change I’d make is bump the Joel Edmundson signing from a B- to an A. Enough with past years’ offseasons, let’s look at 2021.

Expansion Draft

I’ll spoil this piece right at the start, the best grade is this one. Marc Bergevin and Carey Price pulled off quite the expansion draft performance on Seattle. The Habs were virtually assured to lose Jake Allen to Seattle, which would have really stung, considering he’s the first competent backup Carey Price has had in ages, and Allen outplayed Price in the regular season. Without his heroics, the playoff run never would have been possible.

As a result, both Price and Bergevin chose to take a risk to hold on to Allen by waiving Price’s NMC and exposing him and his behemoth contract to Seattle. While I’m certain Ron Francis and his management team were very close to picking Price, they didn’t. The Habs held on to both Price and Allen and didn’t even lose Drouin, who was exposed.

While Cale Fleury is a fun player to watch he probably doesn’t have top-4 upside and will likely figure as a physical and steady presence on the bottom pairing of an NHL team for years to come. He’s a player that I’d have love to keep, but losing him is cushioned by the abundance of quality defensive prospects the Habs have accumulated in the last three years.

The Habs somehow came away from the expansion draft without losing a roster player or a player with a high upside, which was a stroke of mastery. This performance really got my hopes up for an exciting offseason, and while it was certainly eventful, it wasn’t for the right reasons.

Grade: A +

Re-Signing Joel Armia: 4 x 3.4

I’m sure every Habs fan has by now realized that Armia is invisible for a handful of games and then scores two goals in a game while dominating physically and putting on an absolute clinic on the penalty kill: Dr. Armia and Mr. Joel. Armia is a really useful player because he can play just about anywhere in the lineup and the term on this contract is quite good. I certainly would have preferred to let him walk and used the cap space to facilitate the re-signing of Phillip Danault, but having depth on the wings is always a nice luxury to have. The contract is also quite tradeable, which certainly helps.

Grade: B

Re-Signing Artturi Lehkonen: 1 x 2.3

Lehkonen gave Habs fans the team’s most iconic moment since the ’93 cup. With the signing of Matthieu Perreault and the option to have signed Corey Perry on the cheap, however, Bergevin may have been wise to save some cap and get some assets in return for Lehkonen’s rights at the draft. This team’s cap is now extremely concentrated in bottom-6 wingers, which just doesn’t seem to be a wise formula. Still, Lehkonen is a likeable swiss army knife and should earn this contract.

Grade: B –

Letting Danault Walk

I’m a real appreciator of Phillip Danault’s game. Sure, 6 years at $5.5 million for a 28-year-old centre who has never scored more than 13 goals in a season seems outrageous, but he is among the league’s elite defensive forwards and was the only Hab that forced teams to try to get their star players away from matchups against him in the playoff run, which I really value. While the Habs may have needed to pay $6 million to retain his services, but it would have been worthwhile in my eyes.

Grade: C +

Letting Tatar Walk

I also like Tomas Tatar a lot, I think Ducharme’s biggest mistake on the playoff run was not re-inserting Tatar into the lineup after game 1 against Tampa. While I think New Jersey is getting a steal with Tatar’s 2 x $4.5 million contract, Tatar was never re-signing in Montreal, so there wasn’t really a choice to make here.

Grade: A –

Letting Perry Walk

This stung. Perry was vocal about his desire to stay in Montreal, if the reason he left was really that Bergevin didn’t want to offer him a two-year deal at $1 million, I think the GM really dropped the ball. Perry was a great power-play contributor, leader, and arguably the Habs’ best forward vs Tampa Bay in the finals. The Habs certainly have a bunch of depth on the wings, they could have kept Danault and Perry and let go of Armia and Lehkonen for an extra $1 million in cap and gotten assets for Lehkonen.

Grade: C –

Signing Cedric Paquette: 1 x 950k

Paquette is a quintessential fourth-line centreman. He’s a decent faceoff taker, he’s extremely physical and hard-working and he can pot some goals; he scored 13 in 2018-19, matching Danault’s career-high output. He had a strong year as a fourth-line winger for the Hurricanes last season, driving superb expected goal metrics (57.67%) in 38 games, even though the actual production was a bit lacking with just 4 goals and 8 points in 47 games if you add in his 9 games as a Senator. Paquette is a good insurance policy if Ryan Poehling doesn’t crack the team in training camp.

Grade: B +

Signing Chris Wideman: 1 x 750k

Wideman was the best defenceman in the KHL last season and left money on the table to return to the NHL this season. He has always been an analytical darling and should be a decent bottom-pairing offensive-leaning option for the Habs this season. He was the player that took the most heat for the Ottawa Senators’ Uber incident in which Thomas Chabot, Dylan DeMelo, Matt Duchene, Alex Formenton, Chris Tierney, Chris Wideman and Colin White mocked the team’s penalty kill and one of their coaches. Wideman was the easiest scapegoat as he was the least established/promising player of the group and signing him may just be a shrewd move by Bergevin.

Grade: B 

Signing Matthieu Perreault: 1 x 950k

I love this signing. Perreault has played as a centre in the past, though not in a few years, and he has been a really solid bottom-6 contributor for quite a while. He should take Corey Perry’s place as the power play net-front presence and plays a solid defensive game. He’s a perfect fourth-line winger who is likely to start the season in the press box due to the abundance of bottom-six depth on this team. If he does play a full season, however, he’s a safe bet for 12 goals and 25 points.

Grade: A

Signing David Savard: 4 x 3.5

In a vacuum, the Savard signing looks great. He certainly took a discount to come home and his toolkit could age quite well. He’s strong defensively and shows some offensive flashes, though real production is likey in Savard’s rearview mirror. Yet another Stanley Cup winner who will play extremely physically and clear the net-front while leaving puck-moving duties to the forwards, Savard fits the mould of defenseman that Marc Bergevin and Luke Richardson love (modelled after their own games).

However, when you consider that Shea Weber’s career may very well be finished and that Savard is meant to be his replacement, this move looks a little bit less good. Savard would have been the perfect third-pairing PK specialist to pair with Alexander Romanov this season, but he is likely to play in the top-4 with Ben Chiarot instead, a partnership that may not be pretty to watch. If the Habs acquire a puck-moving RD who pushes Savard to the third pairing, I will like this move a whole lot more than I do right now.

Grade: B

Signing Mike Hoffman: 3 x 4.5

Mike Hoffman is such an interesting player. He is not good at 5v5. He is bad defensively and he doesn’t drive offence. But he is one of the league’s most dominant power play weapons. In the past five seasons, only four players scored more than Hoffman’s 65 power-play goals: David Pastrnak (66), Leon Draisaitl (68), Steven Stamkos (71) and, obviously, Alexander Ovechkin (93). Patrice Bergeron sits in sixth place with 57, so there is a gap between Hoffman and everyone behind him.

Hoffman and Cole Caufield will take over the mantle as PP triggermen from Shea Weber, who has struggled in that role in the last few seasons. The power play should be re-invigorated and Hoffman will play a large role in that. I like his signing because the Habs already have a bunch of responsible two-way wingers, adding a pure goalscorer diversifies the group and should help this team avoid the scoring droughts it has gone through regularly for the last decade or so.

He should also get a good right-winger, his centreman could be a bigger question mark, and he might just put up north of 60 points this season; he did rack up 36 goals and 70 points in 2018-19, after all. A 25-goal pace should be guaranteed and 30 is fully achievable, it’s just that the Habs will also concede more goals when he’s on the ice.

Grade: A

I have decided to split the Kotkaniemi section into two parts because the grades will differ greatly.

Not Re-Signing Kotkaniemi in the First Two Months of the Offseason

Where Bergevin dropped the ball in handling the Kotkaniemi contract was in not getting him signed long before an offersheet was even a possibility. The Sebastian Aho offer sheet clearly rubbed Tom Dundon the wrong way and it was said even two years ago that the Hurricanes would get their revenge with Jesperi Kotkaniemi. Signing a bridge contract really shouldn’t have been as difficult as Bergevin made it out to be.

Sure, Kotkaniemi rejected the offer in the $2.5 million range, and that’s pretty much what he’s worth at this stage of his career, but the risk of losing him should have been bigger than the risk that handing him a 2 x $3.5 million contract would have been. You really shouldn’t penny-pinch on a promising young player who is the perfect offersheet target because he has a ton of potential but has yet to properly establish himself.

Grade: D –

Not Matching the 1 x 6,100,035 offersheet

This is a far easier choice for me to understand and support. While Kotkaniemi is a young player with the aforementioned potential, there is real risk in this contract. I wrote two pieces following the offersheet trying to look at both perspectives: match and don’t match. As I state in those editorials, I was in support of not matching the offersheet, but would have been quite fine with the Habs making either choice, considering how tough of a decision it was, there just wasn’t really a right or wrong choice to make, just one risk or another.

Grade: A –

Trading for Christian Dvorak

Acquiring Dvorak to replace Kotkaniemi/Danault was never my preferred outcome, even though I like him as a player and am looking forward to seeing him in a Habs jersey. Bergevin needed to replace not just Kotkaniemi, but also Phillip Danault, and the way I see it, if you replace two players with one, that one had better be really good. I was hoping Tomas Hertl would be brought in; as an established 1C in the NHL, a tandem of him and Suzuki would have more than compensated for weaker bottom-6 centremen.

While Dvorak is good, he’s not an all-star calibre player like Hertl. Still, Dvorak does diversify this team’s centre group; he plays with grit and has quite a wicked wrist shot from the slot, which he uses a lot as a bumper on the power play. He should score at least 23 goals and 50 points while playing reliable defensive minutes, dominating in the faceoff dot and contributing on both special teams. He’s a legit 2C and this team will be glad to have him, his $4.45 million contract is also quite team-friendly and runs for another 4 seasons.

The 2022 draft class is pretty stacked and had Bergevin not put the protective clause on the better of the two picks, I would have hated this trade because I’m not convinced the Habs or the Canes are playoff locks and losing out on Shane Wright/Matthew Savoie/Brad Lambert in this trade would have been devastating. Despite the clause, the price is high, but if the pick is in the 20s or 30s and the eventual 2nd round pick isn’t in the 30s, I think the Habs did quite well.

Grade: B +

Offseason as a Whole

This grade boils down to three simple things:

1. Did the Habs improve in the short term?
2. Did the Habs improve in the long term?
3. Logan Mailloux.

I don’t think the current roster is stronger than last season’s, despite the addition of a full season of Cole Caufield, whom I love. I also think that the Habs’ long-term future is a bit less bright as a result of losing Kotkaniemi and the relatively poor drafting. And in the end, supporting an NHL team is meant to be for entertainment and about finding a connection with your team, that connection was really strained for myself and a lot of other Hab fans as a result of the Mailloux pick.

I like some of the depth signings, I really liked some of the draft picks and Mike Hoffman will be a joy to watch on the PK, but those details don’t matter when the organization as a whole regressed. I just can’t see this team competing in the playoffs right now, Phillip Danault, a hot Carey Price and Shea Weber were so integral on that run.

If the Habs end up tanking for some reason or other this season and getting a top-10 pick, fans should be excited for that layer because he’s going to be good. And if I’m proven dead wrong and made look a fool, I will be beyond thrilled! But my prediction for this season is that the Habs fail to crack the playoffs in the Group of Death (Atlantic Division) and end up sending the 11th-14th overall pick to Arizona, which might just be the most pessimistic prediction possible, I really hope I’m wrong.

Grade: C –

Stats are sourced from NHL.com while contract details are sourced from CapFriendly.com.